This wave may hit the peak by mid-May


Despite the State being in lockdown mode, covid cases are refusing to come down. However, experts say that at least 10 days have to pass by in lockdown for the cases to subside. Dr MK Sudarshan, who heads the covid task force, said, “We need to wait for at least 10 days before we can expect a drop in covid cases. The lockdowns are effective when they are for longer durations.”

Epidemiologist Dr R Giridhar Babu said that though earlier they were expecting the second wave to hit the peak by the second week of May, now that the lockdown in place, cases will slow down. “In a week’s time, we can analyse as to when it will hit the peak. Lockdowns will help ramp up health infrastructure facilities too,” he said.

Dr GB Sattur, member of the covid expert committee, said, “The peak is supposed to come around the second week of May. After that, it will take another two weeks for cases to subside and from then it would require six weeks to stabilise or to start registering numbers like before the second wave struck.” He suggested that the Governments aggressively promote vaccination. “Fortunately, both of these vaccines have proved that they are effective even in case of an infection from a double variant. Once you are vaccinated, you will have three advantages. Even if you are infected, you will get very mild

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to mild form of the infection. ICU admissions will be extremely rare and there are almost zero deaths in case of the vaccinated.”


‘Decision on extension only on May 10’


A few experts have suggested that the government think about extending the lockdown which is to end on May 12. They said that Chief Minister BS Yediyurappa had even while announcing the lockdown hinted at an extension if cases don’t drop significantly. A covid expert said, “During the CM’s meeting, we had suggested that there should be a three-week lockdown to break the transmission chain. The government wanted to try it for two weeks. ” Meanwhile in Udupi, Home Minister Basasvara Bommai said that the State Government will decide on May 10 whether it will extend the lockdown or not. He said that the decision will be taken based on inputs from the technical advisory committee.



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Sagar Biswas

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